key takeaways
- The Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) swept all three by-elections, including the head-to-head contest with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Shimane.
- The LDP and Prime Minister Kishida Fumio face a worsening crisis of public confidence with no easy solution – and now have to contend with an energized opposition.
- A snap election is unlikely before September, setting both ruling and opposition parties up for months of battling for advantage ahead of a general election likely to be called after the LDP’s leadership election.
