key takeaways
- The ruling coalition is facing significant headwinds across the country, as both the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Kōmeitō are struggling to mobilize their voters in the face of an anti-establishment surge.
- The likelihood that the coalition retains its majority is falling sharply, which could set the stage for Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru’s exit and a turbulent process for forming a new government.
- The next government could mean major foreign and economic policy shifts, but is unlikely to reverse the long-term trends that have destabilized Japanese politics.
Japan Foresight 