key takeaways
- Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP) leader Noda Yoshihiko faces increasing pressure to submit a no-confidence motion, even as Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru signals that he would call a double election in response.
- While some politicians have warned Noda that passing on a no-confidence motion would be an admission of his party’s weakness, the party has a lot to lose from forcing a double election.
- The most likely outcome remains that the CDP decides against submitting a no-confidence motion, leaving the ruling and opposition parties to contest only the upper house in July.
Japan Foresight 